Managing Change & Contingency Planning | Edexcel 9BS0 — The Business School
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9BS0 3.6

Managing Change and Contingency Planning (9BS0 3.6)

Change is constant — from growth and takeovers to technology shocks and crises. This topic covers why change happens, what makes it succeed, why people resist it, and how contingency planning prepares firms for the risks they cannot prevent.

Causes and effects of change

Edexcel identifies key causes of change: changes in organisational size (growth, mergers, retrenchment), poor business performance forcing restructuring, new ownership bringing new objectives, transformational leadership, and market factors such as technology, competition and consumer tastes.

Effects ripple through every function: new structures and reporting lines, redundancies or recruitment, revised products and processes, and shifts in culture. Vodafone and Three's 2025 merger, for example, triggered network integration, brand decisions and workforce restructuring affecting thousands of employees.

Change also affects competitiveness in both directions. Managed well, it renews advantage; managed badly, it distracts managers, demotivates staff and interrupts service. The disruption cost of change is real and must be weighed against its benefits — a theme examiners reward when candidates avoid treating change as automatically good.

Key factors in successful change and resistance

Four factors shape whether change succeeds:

  • Organisational culture: adaptive, trusting cultures absorb change; defensive ones resist it.
  • Size: larger firms carry more inertia, more layers and more vested interests.
  • Time and speed: crisis change must be fast but breeds errors; gradual change allows consultation but can drift.
  • Managing resistance: Kotter and Schlesinger's approaches range from education and participation through negotiation to, in emergencies, coercion.

People resist change for rational and emotional reasons: self-interest (jobs, status), misunderstanding, low tolerance of uncertainty and genuinely different assessments of what is best. Participation converts resisters into co-authors but takes time; coercion is fast but poisons trust for the next change. Matching the approach to urgency and to the source of resistance is the analytical skill examiners look for.

Contingency planning and crisis management

Contingency planning prepares responses to possible future shocks: identify risks, assess likelihood and impact, plan responses to the significant ones, and rehearse. Crisis management is the live execution when the shock arrives.

Recent events show the stakes. The July 2024 CrowdStrike software failure disabled millions of Windows machines, grounding flights and closing tills worldwide — firms with tested manual fallbacks recovered in hours, others took days. In April 2025 Marks and Spencer suffered a cyber attack that halted online orders for about six weeks and cost an estimated £300 million in operating profit; contingency arrangements kept stores trading while systems were rebuilt.

Planning costs money and time, and plans for the wrong risk can mislead — no plan survives contact intact. But the process itself builds capability: teams that have rehearsed decision-making under pressure respond faster to any crisis. The judgement is proportionality: plan deepest where impact is existential.

Key terms

Organisational change
Alteration of a business's structure, strategy, processes or culture.
Transformational leadership
Leadership that inspires major change through vision and personal example.
Inertia
The tendency of organisations to continue existing patterns and resist change.
Resistance to change
Employee opposition to change from self-interest, fear or disagreement.
Kotter and Schlesinger
Theorists who identified methods of overcoming resistance, from education to coercion.
Contingency planning
Preparing responses in advance for possible future risks and disruptions.
Crisis management
The immediate handling of a serious unexpected event threatening the business.
Risk assessment
Evaluating the likelihood and impact of potential threats to prioritise planning.

Practice questions

Explain one reason why employees may resist organisational change. [4 marks]

Model answer guidance: Employees may resist change out of self-interest, fearing loss of jobs, status or valued working patterns. A restructuring that merges departments threatens established roles, so staff defend the current arrangement regardless of its business logic. This resistance is rational from the individual's perspective even when change benefits the firm. Unless managers address the underlying fear through communication or negotiation, resistance surfaces as reduced effort, turnover or open opposition.

Explain one benefit to a business of contingency planning. [4 marks]

Model answer guidance: Contingency planning means a business has rehearsed responses ready when disruption strikes, cutting reaction time and losses. During the July 2024 CrowdStrike outage, firms with tested manual fallback procedures kept operating while unprepared rivals stood idle. Faster recovery protects revenue and customer trust simultaneously. The planning process also reveals weaknesses — single suppliers, key-person dependencies — that can be fixed before any crisis occurs.

Discuss how the speed of change affects its chance of success. [8 marks]

Model answer guidance: Rapid change suits crises: when performance is collapsing, slow consultation lets problems compound, and decisive action reassures investors and customers. However, speed sacrifices participation, so understanding is thinner, errors go unchallenged and resistance hardens once the change beds in. Gradual change allows education, involvement and adjustment, building commitment — but it can drift, lose momentum and allow opponents to organise. Success depends on matching speed to urgency and to how much employee cooperation the change needs: system changes can be fast, behaviour changes rarely can.

Assess the importance of organisational culture in determining whether a major change programme succeeds. [12 marks]

Model answer guidance: Culture determines how change is received: an adaptive, trusting culture treats change as normal, shares information honestly and tolerates the mistakes of transition, while a defensive culture breeds rumour, quiet non-compliance and departure of good staff. Since large-scale change depends on thousands of daily choices managers cannot supervise, culture effectively decides execution. However, other factors also weigh heavily: resourcing, leadership quality, the objective merit of the change, and external pressures such as regulation can override cultural readiness in either direction. Culture matters most for changes requiring behavioural commitment rather than mere compliance. Overall it is among the most important factors — and the least controllable in the short term — so realistic change programmes are designed around the culture that exists, not the one leaders wish existed.

Evaluate whether the benefits of contingency planning justify its costs for a large retailer. (20) [20 marks]

Model answer guidance: For a large retailer the case is strong: revenue depends on continuous availability of systems, stock and stores, so downtime costs are enormous — the April 2025 cyber attack on M&S halted online sales for roughly six weeks and cost an estimated £300 million in operating profit. Contingency arrangements that kept its stores trading limited the damage, and rehearsed responses protect brand trust, which takes years to rebuild. Planning also uncovers vulnerabilities cheaply. Against this, planning consumes management time and money, risks covering the wrong scenarios in a fast-changing threat environment, and can create false confidence in documents nobody has tested. Yet the alternative — improvising during a crisis — is demonstrably costlier, as firms without fallbacks discovered during CrowdStrike in 2024. Overall, for retailers of scale the benefits clearly justify proportionate costs; the real question is prioritisation — deep, rehearsed plans for existential risks such as cyber attack, lighter plans elsewhere.

Examiner tips

  • Name the Edexcel change factors — culture, size, time/speed, resistance management — and apply at least two to the case.
  • M&S 2025 (£300m, six weeks offline) and CrowdStrike 2024 give you paired examples: one firm attacked, many firms exposed.
  • Evaluate contingency planning through proportionality: match planning depth to the size and likelihood of each risk.
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